fundraise receipt · prediction markets
frontrun flagged Outcome 199 days before its $4B round
tl;dr: Outcome announced $4B on Aug 21, 2026. frontrun flagged the company on Feb 3, 2026, when it had 13,249 followers, 199 days before the announcement.
what Outcome raised
Outcome (@outcomexyz · go.outcome.xyz) announced $4B on Aug 21, 2026. verified against x.com.
Prediction Markets on Hyperliquid, Trade outcomes on Crypto, Sports, Economics, Finance, Politics & more. https://t.co/wQPHkSHrLl
how we knew 199 days early
frontrun watches the follow graphs of 2,000+ tracked venture investors on X. on Feb 3, 2026, tracked investors began following Outcome, which had 13,249 followers at the time. that convergence was logged that day. the round landed 199 days later.
73 tracked investors follow Outcome today, and the account has grown to 26,078 followers. that count is public. which investors they are, and the day each one followed, is what the product shows.
Outcome already raised. see the companies getting the same investor convergence right now, before their round. start a 7-day free trial →
other rounds we called early
ZeroDrift $10M (199d early) · Gonka $50M (206d early) · Moku $5.3M (191d early) · Orthogonal (YC W26) $4.3M (213d early) · Starcloud $250M (184d early)
data updated Sep 9, 2026 · Outcome signal page · every round we called early · trending this week